Here is a tentative version of next spring’s draft order. See below for comments on EFL teams who could see their draft order shift depending on how players do in today’s Braves-Mets doubleheader.
NOTES:
- The lefthand column shows the results of a calculation adding 29/40 to the previous team’s draft number. This narrows the interval uniformly down the list because we are squeezing the 11 EFL teams into a 30-team draft so we are, as closely as possible in the same drafting environment as MLB teams do.
- I have greyed out teams that fall the furthest from each whole number in the list, except when that team was an EFL team, in which case I grey out the non-EFL team furthest from each whole number. For example, DC at 7.525 slips to the 8th pick because Washington (6.8) is closer to 7 than Toronto (at 7.25 is to 8. Also, DC is closer to 8 than 7, but that’s not the deciding factor.
- If Kaline has players who play well in today’s doubleheader, the Drive’s winning percentage could improve to pass the Angels’, dropping the Drive to pick #4. Similarly, the Cascades could drop to #7, and the Kangaroos to #10. If a bunch of Balkan pitchers chulk big enough I suppose DC could move up in the draft to #7 (or even #6) but DC is probably stuck at #8.
- Pittsburgh, on the other hand, has a chance to move up to #17 if Allegheny players stink particularly badly today.
