Which EFL player made his dad the proudest on Fathers Day?
To find out, we’ll START this post with the Outstanding Performances for each team. To find the End of Week 13 standings — and the results of a couple of studies I’ve done — scroll down.
Outstanding Hitting Performances
PA: Jordan Walker: 1 for 3 with a homer and two walks: .333, .600, 1.333; 1.933 OPS.
OD: Will Smith: 2 for 3 with 2 hbp: .667, .800, .667; 1.467 OPS.
FH: Julio Rodrigues: 1 for 3 with a double, a walk, and a stolen base: .333, .500, .667; 1.167 OPS.
SS: Shohei Ohtani — it kinda has to be, even though he continued his “slump” into a second day, only going 1 for 4 with a homer. He even got shown up by Mike Trout (2 for 3 with a homer, a double, and a walk).
CK: Kyle Tucker: 2 for 4 with a double and two walks plus a stolen base: .500, .600, .750; 1.350 OPS.
HD: Kyle Schwarber: 3 for 4 with a homer: .750, .750,1.500; 2.250 OPS
PP: Michael Harris II: 5 for 5 with a double and a homer: 1.000, 1.000, 1.800; 2.800 OPS, and an infinite rc/g. . Michael Harris I got to throw the ceremonial first pitch of the game to his son, too, which seals the deal for sure: this is the most outstanding fatherly-pride conducive performance of the day in the entire EFL.
KD: Randy Arozarena: 3 for 4 with a hbp: .750, .800, .750; 1.550 OPS
PR; Maikel Garcia: 3 for 4 with a double and a stolen base: .750, .750, 1.000; 1.750 OPS.. .
BC: Jarred Kelenic: 1 for 4 with a triple: .250, .250, .750; 1.000 OPS. Making 3 outs in 4 plate appearances creates a strong presumption that you weren’t outstanding that day. But in Kelenic’s case, he came to bat with two outs, bottom of the 8th inning, bases loaded, having gone 0 for 3 at that point. The Mariners were clinging to a 1 run lead, having lost on Saturday because of a top-of-the- ninth rally. So Kelenic’s triple, hit under exceptional pressure, was an outstandingly good thing for his team.
DC: Corey Seager: 4 for 5 with 2 doubles. That makes him 7 for 13 over the last three day, with three doubles and a homer: .538, .538, 1.000; 1.537 OPS.
Outstanding Pitching Performances
PA: Logan Webb; 7 ip, 2 er, 2.57 ERA
OD: Bryce Miller: 7 ip, 1 er, 1.29 ERA.
FH: Bryan Bello: 7 ip, 1 er, 1.29 ERA.
SS: Mitch White: 1.7 ip, 0 er, 0.00 ERA. .
CK: Justin Topa: 1.0 ip, 0 er, 0.00 ERA. A scoreless inning probably shouldn’t count as “Outstanding” — I’m still figuring out the standards for this feature. But Topa’s inning came in the top of the 8th when the Mariners were clinging to a one run lead, after having tossed away a bigger lead on Saturday. So the pressure was especially intense. Topa shut down the White Sox without a baserunner.
HD: Jesus Luzardo: 6 ip, 2 er, 3.00 ERA .
PP: Freddy Peralta: 6 ip, 2 er, 3.00 ERA .
KD: Kevin Kelly: 1.3 ip, 0 er, 0.00 ERA. Is that extra 1/3 of an inning enough to be outstanding? His FIP (according to the inexplicable BP formula) is 1.19
PR: None.
BC: None. Doval’s 0.7 shutout innings are nice, but not outstanding (per my hardening standards). .
DC: None.
Outstandingly Embarrassing Performances
PA: None.
OD: Austin Riley: 0 for 6 with two strikeouts. This was, of course, the same game when the Pears’ Michael Harris II went 5 for 5… and Allegheny Ozzie Albies went 3 for 5 with a walk… and three other guys had multiple hits. Even Tornado Ronald Acuna, on what amounts to an off day for him, went 1 for 4 with two walks. The Braves scored 14 runs on 18 hits and 7 walks. Riley was the only Brave who didn’t reach base safely at least twice.
FH: No Tornado embarrassed himself that I can see. Chad Wallach went 0 for 4, but I’ve decided that’s too common to be really embarrassing. It’s certainly not Austin Riley level embarrassing. .
SS: Tony Gonsolin: 5.7 ip, 7 er, 11.12 ERA. .
CK: Adam Cimber: 0.3 ip, 3 er, 81.00 ERA — a nonuple chulk. Not a Royal Chulk — that requires 10 times as many earned runs allowed as outs gotten — but about as close as you can get. Certainly an aristocrat among chulks. Maybea Duke of Chulks.
HD: Connor Joe: 0 for 4 with 3 strikeouts. I think this is just across the threshhold into embarrassing, because of the three strikeouts.
PP: Just a couple of 0 for 4 with 1 strikeout.
KD: Louie Varland: 4.3 IP, 6 ER, 12.46 ERA.
PR: Jon Gray: 2.3 ip, 6 er, 23.14 ERA.
BC: Anthony Volpe: 0 for 7 with 5 strikeouts. Not a great doubleheader for a guy described at his debut this spring as the second coming of Derek Jeter.
DC: Chase Anderson: 3 ip, 7 er, 21.00 ERA. (Pete Alonso thanks you, Chase, for deflecting attention from his 0 for 4 with three strikeouts.)
Standings End of Week 12, no 13, no 12! Yes, definitely Week 12.
| Team | Wins | Losses | WPct | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Alleghenys | 42.5 | 29.5 | .590 | 0.0 |
| Old Detroit Wolverines | 42.1 | 29.9 | .585 | 0.3 |
| Flint Hill Tornadoes | 41.7 | 30.3 | .578 | 0.8 |
| Salem Seraphim | 39.2 | 32.8 | .544 | 3.3 |
| Peshastin Pears | 37.7 | 34.3 | .523 | 4.8 |
| Canberra Kangaroos | 37.6 | 34.4 | .522 | 4.9 |
| Haviland Dragons | 37.1 | 34.9 | .515 | 5.4 |
| Kaline Drive | 36.8 | 35.6 | .512 | 5.6 |
| Portland Rosebuds | 36.3 | 35.6 | .505 | 6.1 |
| Bellingham Cascades | 29.7 | 42.7 | .413 | 12.7 |
| D.C. Balk | 25.2 | 46.8 | .350 | 17.3 |
Head-to-Head Results for Week 12 After 6 Games
| Team 1 | Runs Scored | Runs Allowed | Raw Win Pct | Wins | Losses | Adj Win Pct | Team 2 | Runs Scored | Runs Allowed | Raw Win Pct | Wins | Losses | Adj Win Pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PA | 47.61 | 19.67 | .854 | 5.7 | 0.3 | .948 | KD | 13.22 | 23.34 | .243 | 0.3 | 5.7 | .052 |
| PP | 36.17 | 28.53 | .617 | 4.9 | 1.1 | .810 | HD | 24.64 | 40.15 | .274 | 1.1 | 4.9 | .190 |
| CK | 34.40 | 28.93 | .586 | 4.1 | 1.9 | .683 | DC | 32.24 | 39.80 | .396 | 1.9 | 4.1 | .317 |
| BC | 18.45 | 31.94 | .250 | 3.2 | 2.8 | .535 | PR | 25.42 | 47.22 | .225 | 2.8 | 3.2 | .465 |
| SS | 30.54 | 35.50 | .425 | 2.8 | 3.2 | .466 | OD | 21.24 | 23.05 | .459 | 3.2 | 2.8 | .534 |
| FH | 27.97 | 32.62 | .424 | 2.5 | 3.5 | .424 | ML | 6.00 | 6.00 | .500 | 3.5 | 2.5 | .576 |
PA 5.7, KD 0.3. The Alleghenys had, by far, the best raw numbers in the league this week: almost 8 runs scored per game, less than 2.5 runs allowed per game. Kaline, on the other hand, scored only 2.2 runs per game, while allowing 3.9, joining three other EFL teams with raw winning percentages in the .200.
OD 3.2, SA 2.8;
BC 3.2, PR 2.8;
MLB 3.5, FH 2.5: these matchups were close to even.
PP 4.9, HD 1.1: This is a real standings-changer, and explains the Pears’ rebound to 5th place, and (even more clearly) Haviland’s surprising slide to 7th. It would be interesting to know John’s explanation for the Dragons’ struggles. I think there have been some injuries, but I am not on top of that factor for Haviland.
CK 4.1, DC 1.9: Here’s another series that made a difference, at least for Canberra — and at least until Peshastin finished off Haviland to pass Canberra at the end of the week.
Two notes on the season so far:
- Here’s the entire league’s predicted W/L based on season-total rs/ra, compared to their actual adjusted W/L:
We have a closer race after adjustment than we would have before it.
Old Detroit fans at their most peevish might whine about not being in first place when they have the best predicted record, as if there was a conspiracy afoot. But a single dark look from a Seraphim supporter reminds even the worst-tempered OD fan about what happened last season, and all complaining ceases.
2. Here’s another revealing factor: defense. Defense affects the RAW totals, by suppressing (or adding to) runs allowed. Each point of total team defense is worth approximately 1 win over the entire season — with effects somewhat greater per point the further you get from the nominal team average of 35. Here are the team defense ratings achieved in Week 12:
OD: 39.84
KD: 37.17
PA: 36.82
SS: 35.35
HD: 35.13
CK: 34.87
FH: 34.44
SS: 34.25
PP: 33.54
BC: 32.96
DC: 32.74
Almost half-way through the season, assuming all our weeks were identical, defensively to the 12th week, it’s fair to estimate (assuming all the weeks have been similar) that the Wolverines have won about two games compared to average due to its defense.
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